Brazil is expected to record positive performances in animal protein production and exports
In a semester marked by overcoming the greatest sectoral challenge ever imposed on proteins - the identification of a specific health situation of a global disease, Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza – projections indicate the sectoral outlook for a return to normality, according to ABPA president Ricardo Santin.
"We have positive expectations for the end of this year, even given the significant challenges facing the poultry production sector. The global market remains highly demanding for proteins. The same is true in our domestic market, with projected high consumption of all three proteins", Santin assesses.
EGGS
According to ABPA projections, Brazilian egg production is expected to reach 62 billion units in 2025, 7.5% higher than the 57.683 billion units recorded in 2024. Further expansion is expected in 2026, with production reaching 65 billion units, a 4.8% increase over the previous year.
The sector's exports are expected to reach up to 40,000 tons in 2025, representing a 116.6% increase compared to the 18,469 tons shipped in 2024. For 2026, further advances are expected, with up to 45,000 tons exported, 12.5% more than the volume forecast for this year.
Per capita consumption is expected to increase from 269 units per inhabitant in 2024 to 288 units in 2025 (+7.1%) and 306 units in 2026 (+6.3% over the previous year).
"Strong consumption will position Brazil, for the first time, among the 10 largest per capita egg consumers on the planet by the end of 2025. The projected strong growth in consumption is expected to continue in 2026, expanding the protein's presence as a cornerstone of the country's food security. Internationally, companies are still evaluating the effects of the Tariff on exports, but with the expectation of the reopening of markets that are highly demanding of Brazilian protein, such as Chile, they maintain expectations of record exports this year", assesses ABPA president Ricardo Santin.
CHICKEN MEAT
Brazilian chicken meat production is expected to total 15.400 million tons in 2025, a figure up to 30% higher than the total of 14.972 million tons produced in 2024. For 2026, growth is expected, with up to 15.700 million tons, an increase of 2%.
Exports are expected to remain at stable levels, with a small drop of up to 2%, projecting up to 5.200 million tons exported in 2025 (compared to 5.295 million in 2024) and up to 5.500 million in 2026, a growth of 5.8% over the previous year.
In the domestic market, chicken meat availability could reach 10.2 billion tons in 2025, compared to 9.678 million tons in 2024, a 5.4% increase. Volume is expected to remain stable in 2026.
As a result, per capita protein consumption is expected to rise from 45.5 kg per inhabitant in 2024 to 47.8 kg in 2025 (+5.1%), remaining at the same level in 2026.
"The year was marked by overcoming the biggest crisis in the history of the poultry sector, with the identification of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza on a commercial farm. The situation was isolated and has already been overcome, and most of the temporarily suspended markets have already reestablished exports. Negotiations continue, and with this, we hope to maintain the positive export performance close to that achieved in 2024. On the other hand, production remains strong thanks to a demanding domestic market, with per capita consumption returning to historical levels of around 47 kilograms", analyzes Santin.
PORK
For pork, national production is estimated to reach 5.420 million tons in 2025, a 2.2% increase compared to the 5.305 million tons recorded in 2024. A further increase is expected for 2026, with production estimated at 5.550 million tons, a 2.4% increase over the previous year.
Exports are also expected to remain on an upward trajectory. The sector projects exports of up to 1.450 million tons in 2025, a volume 7.2% higher than the 1.353 million tons shipped in 2024. By 2026, the figure could reach 1.550 million tons, a further increase of 7.0%.
Domestic protein availability is expected to remain stable, with approximately 4 million tons projected for the next two years. Similarly, per capita consumption is expected to stabilize at 18.8 kilograms per inhabitant in 2026, compared to 18.7 kilograms projected for 2025 and 18.6 kilograms recorded in 2024.
"Brazil's pig industry is expected to reach new levels of production, consumption, and exports in 2025, all at record levels. In this scenario, the reconfiguration of the Brazilian export market, with the leadership of the Philippines and the rise of Mexico, Singapore, and South American nations, should strengthen Brazil's position in the global rankings", adds Santin.
The products are made from balanced combinations of chicken breast and thigh, chicken sausages or...
According to estimates gathered from participating companies, the contacts and negotiations carri...
The decision followed years of extensive negotiations by the German Federal Ministry of Food...
