Meat production to reach 374 million tonnes in 2030
At the end of 2030, the world's meat supply may reach 374 million tonnes, according to the latest report from OECD and FAO. Experts from both organizations believe that China will account for most of the total increase in meat production, followed by Brazil and the United States. However, it will not be red meat to see a large increase4 in production but poultry. The availability of protein from beef, pork, poultry and sheep will grow by 5.9%, 13.1%, 17.8% and 15.7% respectively. Globally, poultry is expected to account for 41% of all meat-based proteins in 2030, an increase of 2 percentage points compared to the base period. The overall percentages of other meat products are lower: beef (20%), pork (34%) and sheep meat (5%), says the report. A shift to poultry consumption will be supported by lower incomes in developing countries but also in developing countries, where preferences for white meats is driven by the way consumers perceived it as a healthier food option.
The increase in pork production will remain limited in the first three years due to the slow recovery from ASF outbreaks in China, the Philippines and Vietnam. The recovery process is supposed to be completed in 2023, especially in China, supported by the rapid development of large-scale production facilities that can ensure biosecurity. Growth in global meat protein consumption over the next decade is reported to increase by 14%, driven largely by income and population growth. International meat trade will expand in response to growing demand from countries in Asia and the Middle East, where production will remain insufficient to meet demand.
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