Red meat exports from Scotland suffer from COVID-19 crisis
Global Pandemic had an impact on Scotland's red meat exports of more than £75 million, according to data analyzed by QMS. Exports have contracted about 8% in value between August 2019 and July 2020 with disruptions in the EU foodservice sector being a key factor for the decline. “In part, the decline is likely to reflect the near-closure of export markets for a period in mid-to-late March, when public health measures introduced to control Covid-19 led to delays at EU borders and saw export sales destined for the foodservice sector severely disrupted. The prolonged closure of the foodservice sector meant that demand remained weak throughout the second quarter of 2020, while increased freight costs reduced the viability of some markets” said Iain Macdonald, Senior Economics Analyst at QMS.
With the end of the EU exit transition fast-approaching, the results of the QMS survey once again underline how important EU markets have been for Scotland’s red meat exporters – with 97-99% of beef and lamb export trade involving EU partners, and around 80% of offal trade.
A no-deal Brexit looks more dangerous
While reassuring that Scotland’s red meat exporters accessed new markets outside the EU, such as Canada and Japan, Mr Macdonald noted that it is hard to see increased trade with new markets being able to offset fully the potential disruption to trade with EU countries at the beginning of 2021, particularly if no free trade agreement between the UK and EU emerges. Scottish exporters have a number of long-standing relationships with EU importers, which would be difficult to replace if significant new barriers to trade were to make them unviable.
“With thin operating margins in the processing sector - of as little as 2% - export markets are a vital source of additional revenue over and above what can be achieved in the home market, helping to balance the carcase. In turn, this supports the amount of money that can be spent procuring livestock from Scotland’s cattle, sheep and pig producers,” added Mr Macdonald.
Main markets are within the EU
While results from the survey showed that total sales of beef fell by around 12% in value and volume, exports still generated nearly £41m of revenue. Within this total, exports of Scotch Beef were worth £29m to exporters and the average value per tonne of Scotch Beef exported was almost a quarter higher than for non-Scotch Beef.
“Italy and France remained the largest destinations for Scotch Beef exports, accounting for around 55% between them, while close to 40% of sales were earned from Germany, the Irish Republic, the Netherlands and Belgium,” explained Mr Macdonald.
“The Netherlands and France were the main destinations for non-Scotch Beef, accounting for just over two-thirds.”
Outside the EU, Switzerland was a market where only small volumes of Scotch Beef were exported, but trade took place in high-value cuts, averaging well above £20/kg.
Mr Macdonald said: “This indicates the opportunity that exists for sales of premium cuts of Scotch Beef to buyers seeking out the highest quality beef in a competitive global market. Within the EU, Belgium and Germany were destinations where the average value of beef exports was close to double the overall average, indicating trade in a different balance of cuts to other markets, with a greater focus on higher-value products.”
For lamb exports, which were thought to have been particularly hard hit by the initial introduction of Covid-19 control measures in March, it was a difficult year.
“Exports are estimated to have reduced in value, slipping to around £26m. However, exports still accounted for an estimated 23% of abattoir turnover from lamb sales during the period, compared to around 8% of beef sales.
“The volume of lamb exported fell even faster, but a significant lift in the average value per tonne exported, of over 10%, provided a partial shield to export revenues. France remained the most important overseas market for Scotch Lamb.”
In contrast to beef and lamb, activity in offal surged, more than doubling in value, to over £9m, and tripling in volume. Mr Macdonald concluded: “In the previous year, offal exports had fallen heavily so the rebound will have given an important boost to carcase balance for Scotland’s red meat processors. Non-EU markets grew at an even faster rate than offal exports to the EU, with East Asia the principal destination.”
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